Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.468900 0.521206 0.577630 0.643132 0.717218 0.798575 0.894894
2025-03-23 0.388314 0.460746 0.544885 0.650335 0.779634 0.933863 1.133034
2025-03-30 0.335799 0.415691 0.513107 0.641576 0.807928 1.017949 1.306168
2025-04-06 0.299963 0.384188 0.490987 0.637810 0.836693 1.099996 1.480448
2025-04-13 0.263746 0.347264 0.456602 0.612153 0.830896 1.132268 1.587213
2025-04-20 0.245480 0.331665 0.447922 0.618758 0.867728 1.224159 1.785621
2025-04-27 0.230226 0.318381 0.440561 0.625486 0.903981 1.317118 1.994382
2025-05-04 0.216569 0.305904 0.432820 0.630201 0.936629 1.406546 2.206383
2025-05-11 0.203814 0.293515 0.423876 0.631761 0.963743 1.488918 2.415102
2025-05-18 0.194113 0.284751 0.419364 0.639269 1.000184 1.588691 2.663424
2025-05-25 0.180171 0.268485 0.402101 0.624945 0.999425 1.626349 2.806787
2025-06-01 0.173045 0.262155 0.399630 0.633989 1.037840 1.733266 3.086595
2025-06-08 0.162837 0.250459 0.388087 0.627516 1.049870 1.796622 3.295801
2025-06-15 0.155916 0.243553 0.383759 0.632817 1.082917 1.900902 3.597599
2025-06-22 0.146979 0.232731 0.372160 0.624448 1.090295 1.957953 3.811400
2025-06-29 0.139692 0.224154 0.363684 0.620788 1.105749 2.031390 4.067913
2025-07-06 0.129293 0.209708 0.344268 0.595907 1.078880 2.019415 4.139721
2025-07-13 0.124995 0.205400 0.342069 0.602313 1.112586 2.131226 4.498209
2025-07-20 0.121012 0.201379 0.340067 0.608837 1.146933 2.247585 4.882886
2025-07-27 0.116997 0.197046 0.337197 0.613410 1.177613 2.359159 5.271884
2025-08-03 0.112799 0.192136 0.332946 0.614922 1.202007 2.459492 5.647808
2025-08-10 0.109676 0.188977 0.331697 0.622203 1.239048 2.591421 6.122150
2025-08-17 0.103908 0.180666 0.320331 0.608312 1.229406 2.616622 6.324364